Service Plays Sunday 06/14/09

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Hondo

June 14, 2009

Hondo had to fork over some dead presidents again last night when he flopped with the Phillies to reduce the bankroll to 480 broglios. Today, he'll wing it with the Padres, even though outdueling Weaver will be a tall order for Young. Also, in the soiree, he'll go with Carpenter to nail down a win in Cleveland. Ten units apiece.
 
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RatedPicks

NBA:
*BP* Orlando Magic -2.5
Lakers/Magic OVER 199

MLB:
Baltimore Orioles +110
*BP* Kansas City Royals -115
Cin Reds/KC Royals OVER 8.5
St Louis Cardinals/Cleveland Indians OVER 7.5
 

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Anthony Redd

Sunday's Card
5 Dime Phillies



5 Dime Rays run line



5 Dime Diamondbacks run line
 

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Trace Adams *2500 One and Only NBA Can't Miss LOCK

2500* - Orlando Magic
I feel sure Stan Van Gundy has been hearing voices about his loyalty to Jameer Nelson since Thursday night's loss. I also feel sure Dwight Howard has been continuing to hear voices about how he needs to make crucial free-throws.

All that being said, I don't just like the Magic this Sunday night, I LOVE the Magic to send this series back to Los Angeles with the win, and cover!

Orlando was riding a 5-game postseason home court winning streak prior to Thursday night's setback, and I just feel their home court advantage is too strong to be overlooked in this elimination game on Sunday night.

The Lakers are obviously in the driver's seat with a commanding 3-1 series lead, in a series that has been a lot closer than the current tally indicates. 2 tough overtime losses have put the Magic in this 3-1 hole, but I really don't see them losing 2 of 3 at home to this Lakers team, and have the season end on their home floor tonight.

Believe me, there is too much at stake for this series to end tonight. A more appropriate end to this series will come either this Tuesday, or Thursday night on the Lakers home court where Kobe can celebrate in style with his posse.

The Magic are NOT DEAD YET!

Lay the points with Orlando to send this series back to the City of Angels where the NBA can get at least one more night of viewership.

2500♦ - Orlando Magic

Paid & confirmed by me.

GL
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA FINALS

L.A. Lakers (15-7 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) at Orlando (13-10 SU, 11-11-1 ATS)

The Lakers, on the strength of a fortuitous Game 4 victory, look to wrap up their 15th NBA title on the road when they take on the desperate Magic in Game 5 of the NBA Finals at Amway Arena.

Los Angeles forced overtime on a Derek Fisher three-pointer in the waning seconds Thursday, then got another key Fisher trifecta in the extra session that proved to be the game-winner in a 99-91 victory as a 1½-point road underdog. Kobe Bryant had a typical solid effort, with 32 points and eight assists, and Pau Gasol added 16 points and 10 rebounds. Trevor Ariza nearly matched Gasol’s double-double, with 16 points and nine boards.

Hedo Turkoglu paced Orlando with 25 points in Game 4, and Dwight Howard had 16 points and a whopping 21 boards. But the star center went just 6 of 14 from the free-throw line, including two backbreaking misses with the Magic up by three and 11 seconds remaining. In fact, the charity stripe killed Orlando, which went 22 of 37 (59.5 percent) – including four misses by the normally reliable Turkoglu – while Los Angeles got only 20 attempts but made 15 (75 percent). The Magic blew a 12-point halftime lead.

Including this series, Orlando is 3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS this season against Los Angeles and 5-3-1 ATS (4-5 SU) in the last nine clashes in this rivalry. In addition, the underdog is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, with the road team going 7-2-1 ATS in that stretch. The Lakers are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last six visits to Amway Arena.

Orlando is 40-12 SU (29-22-1 ATS) at home this season, including 8-3 SU (6-4-1 ATS) in the postseason, but it had a five-game home winning streak (4-1 ATS) snapped with Thursday’s defeat. Los Angeles is 34-17 SU (28-22-1 ATS) on the highway for the year, going 5-5 SU (5-4-1 ATS) in road playoff games, including 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last five.

The Lakers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six overall and sport additional pointspread streaks of 23-8-3 as road underdog, 17-7-1 catching less than five points, 11-5 against the Eastern Conference and 8-3 going on two days’ rest. On the flip side, L.A. still carries negative ATS streaks of 3-11-2 in the Finals, 4-11-1 against the Southeast Division and 4-10 following a SU win.

The Magic are on ATS purges of 1-4-1 against the Western Conference, 7-16-1 laying five points or less and 2-4-1 as a playoff chalk of the same price, though they remain on spread-covering upticks of 8-3-1 overall, 21-9-1 against the West, 14-5-1 after two days off and 9-3 on Sunday.

Six of the last seven meetings between these squads in Orlando have cleared the posted price, but Thursday’s game fell well short of the 200½-point total, giving the under a 4-1 mark in this series. In addition, the under for Los Angeles is on tears of 11-3 overall, 8-1 against the East, 6-2 after a spread-cover and 9-4 after a SU win.

Finally, the under for Orlando is on rolls of 7-1 against the West, 8-3 with the Magic as a playoff chalk, 28-12 as a home favorite and 19-7 following a two-day layoff.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


INTERLEAGUE

Boston (38-24) at Philadelphia (35-25)

The Phillies will pit left-hander J.A. Happ (4-0, 2.98 ERA) against Red Sox ace Josh Beckett (7-2, 3.77) as these clubs wrap up a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park matching the last two World Series champions.

Boston will be gunning for a sweep after taking the first two games by scores of 5-2 on Friday and 11-6 on Saturday. The Red Sox have now won 15 of 18 overall in this rivalry, including the last four in a row, and they’re 10-2 in their last 12 games in Philly. In addition, the Sox are on runs of 10-2 overall, 6-0 on the road, 55-18 in interleague play, 26-9 in interleague roadies and 46-22 against lefty starters.

Philadelphia has returned home from a 10-game road trip and lost two straight. Still, the defending champs remain on upswings of 10-5 overall, 40-19 against winning teams, 6-2 against right-handed pitching and 14-5 as a home underdog.

Happ, who began the year in the bullpen, will make just his second home start of the year, previously getting the win in a 5-4 victory over Washington on May 29. Last Tuesday, he gave up four runs on six hits (two homers) and four walks in a 6-5 road loss to the Mets. The southpaw is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA in eight home appearances this year, and Philadelphia is 6-2 in his last eight outings overall and 4-0 in his last four at home. Happ will be making his first career start against the BoSox.

Boston is 6-1 in Beckett’s last seven trips to the bump, with the veteran going 5-0 in that stretch while allowing just nine earned runs in 47 2/3 innings, for a sterling 1.69 ERA. In his most recent start Tuesday, Beckett blanked the Yankees 7-0 at Fenway Park, pitching six innings of one-hit ball with eight strikeouts and two walks.

Beckett is 4-2 with a 3.99 ERA in six road starts this season, and he’s 8-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 18 career appearances (16 starts) against Philly. With the veteran right-hander on the hill, the Sox are on runs of 4-0 on the road and 10-4 in interleague play.

The under for Philadelphia is on rolls of 14-6-1 overall, 5-1 against the A.L. East, 6-2 at home, 14-4-1 in interleague play, 7-1 in Happ’s last eight starts and 4-0 behind Happ at Citizens Bank Park. Similarly, Boston is on a plethora of “under” runs, including 22-7-2 overall, 8-3 on the road, 8-3-1 in interleague play, 5-1 in Beckett’s last six outings and 6-2-1 behind Beckett in interleague contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER


N.Y. Mets (32-28) at N.Y. Yankees (35-27)

The Mets finish off their Big Apple road series by sending ace left-hander Johan Santana (8-3, 2.39 ERA) to the mound against the Yankees, who will counter with right-hander A.J. Burnett (4-3, 4.89).

One day after a stunning 9-8 loss in the Bronx when second baseman Luis Castillo dropped a routine pop-up with two outs in the ninth, leading to the game-winning runs, the Mets bounced back with a 6-2 victory Saturday. The Mets are now 8-3 in their last 11 interleague contests, but Jerry Manuel’s club remains in slumps of 4-7 overall and 3-6 on the road.

The Yankees remain on runs of 20-10 overall, 13-5 at home, 56-23 hosting National League squads and 8-2 against left-handers, but they are on skids of 2-5 in interleague play and 2-8 against winning teams in interleague action.

The Mets have now taken five of eight Subway Series clashes since last season, going 4-1 in Yankee Stadium. In fact, the visitor is on a 6-2 roll in this rivalry.

Santana is 4-1 in his last five starts, despite allowing a total of 17 runs in 33 innings (4.63 ERA), and he’s gone at least six innings in all five of those outings. The southpaw is 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA in five road starts this year, and the Mets are 21-7 in his last 28 starts overall and 8-2 in his last 10 road outings. Santana is 4-1 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 career outings (seven starts) against the Bronx Bombers.

Burnett was on the short end of a 7-0 whipping at Boston on Tuesday, allowing five runs (three earned) in just 2 2/3 innings, with five walks against just one strikeout. The right-hander is 2-6 in 16 career starts against the Mets, despite a serviceable 3.83 ERA, and he’s 1-1 with a 4.62 ERA in six home starts this season. The Yanks are 5-1 in Burnett’s last six starts when he’s going on four days’ rest.

Saturday’s contest stayed under the total, ending a stretch in which six straight Subway Series meetings at Yankee Stadium had topped the posted price. The over is also 20-8-2 in the Mets’ last 30 interleague road games. Conversely, the under for the Mets is on stretches of 10-4-1 on the road overall, 9-4 in Santana’s last 13 starts overall and 4-1 behind Santana on the highway.

Likewise, the under for the Yankees is on tears of 5-1-1 overall, 7-0 on Sunday, 8-1 in interleague action, 8-2 in home interleague contests and 5-1-1 behind Burnett.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS
 

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Tony Weston
Tony Weston SUNDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Lakers
10 Dime Lakers-Magic Under


Lakers at Magic
LAKERS - Just like in Game 4 of the NBA Finals the Lakers come into tonight’s game catching points - about 3, depending on where you’re playing this.

And, just as I advised in Game 4, tonight, in Game 5, take the points as the Lakers once again flirt with an outright victory. With that Game 4 win the Lakers have now gone 5-1 ATS their last 6 playoff games and are 3-1 ATS so far in the Finals.

Going back a little further, Los Angeles is now 7-4 ATS its last 11 games, but is 8-3 SU in that stretch.

Keep in mind, too, the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in the postseason when catching points and are 11-3 ATS overall this season when installed as an underdog.

The Magic, on the other hand, are 4-5 SU their last 9 games and have lost 4 of their last 6 games SU, going only 2-4 ATS in that stretch.

Consider also that Orlando is only 5-7 ATS when installed as a favorite this postseason and is only 6-10 ATS its last 16 when laying points.

Los Angeles will keep this one close and flirt with the outright win tonight. I’m not suggesting taking the Lakers on the Money Line, but do take the points and take Los Angeles on the side.



Lakers-Magic Total
UNDER - Game 3 of the NBA Finals was an aberration. With the Total set at 198 points the Lakers and Magic blew well past that, scoring 212 points.

In each of the other 3 games in these Finals the Under has come in easily. Games 1,2 and 4 have seen the Under has been the smart play. Hell, in Games 2 and 4 these two went to overtime and the Under still came through.

Tonight, that trend will continue as the Under comes through with the Total set at about 198.5 points, depending on where you’re playing this.

Over their last 20 playoff games the Lakers have seen the Under go 15-5 and going back to last season have seen it go 23-10 their last 33 and 28-14 their last 42.

For the Magic, including the playoffs, the team has seen the Under go 26-14 its last 40 games overall. Over Orlando’s last 21 home games, the team has seen the Under go 14-7.

Tonight, the Lakers and Magic will keep scoring at a premium as the Under comes through once again. Take the Under in this one tonight.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED-----------GL GUYS:103631605
 
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Mr. A's

NBA
Los Angeles Lakers +3


Sunday, June 14, 2009 2:20 PM EST.
Minnesota Twins (32-32) at Chicago Cubs (29-30)
(R) Scott Baker (4-6) vs. (L) Ted Lilly (7-4)
Oddsmakers: Chicago as a -140 home favorite with the total listed at (NA) 'over'.

Chicago Cubs -140

Sunday, June 14, 2009 3:35 PM EST.
San Diego Padres (28-33) at Los Angeles Angels (31-29)
(R) Chris Young (4-5) vs. (R) Jered Weaver (6-2)
Oddsmakers: Los Angeles as a -200 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.

Los Angeles Angels -200
 

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Bob Valentino
Bob Valentino Sunday's 40 Dime NBA Finals winner ... 40 DIME -- ORLANDO MAGIC minus the points vs. Lakers in Game 5

NOTE: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY KjCOLBY1978 AND MYSELF----------------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Steve Merrille Picks



<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles 1:35 PM ET</TD><TD class=datacell>under 9</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>Cincinnati Reds at Kansas City Royals 2:10 PM ET</TD><TD class=datacell>under 8.5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>Los Angeles Dodgers at Texas Rangers 3:05 PM ET</TD><TD class=datacell>under 10</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>Los Angeles Lakers at Orlando Magic 8:00 PM ET</TD><TD class=datacell>under 199</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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